ACR Messina vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CES
1 - 0
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MES
1 - 2
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MES
1 - 0
RIM
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
MES
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MES
2 - 1
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 0
AVE
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
RAV
5 - 2
MAN
24%
27%
48%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
PIA
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BOL
3 - 0
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 1
SPE
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |