Mes Rafsanjan vs Nassaji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
10º
29
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 0
MES
27%
30%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
MES
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 1
MES
25%
30%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
MES
1 - 2
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 4
MES
23%
30%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Nassaji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 1
PAY
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 0
ALK
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
EST
4 - 0
NAS
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 4
PER
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 0
NAS
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |