Merthyr Town vs Walton Casuals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
TIV
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MER
2 - 3
FAR
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MER
0 - 2
HEN
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
HAM
2 - 0
MER
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MER
0 - 0
HAM
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Walton Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TAU
3 - 0
WAL
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 3
HAM
20%
22%
57%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
WAL
2 - 1
HEN
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 0
WAL
20%
22%
59%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WAL
2 - 1
HAR
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |