Merthyr Town vs Tiverton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 3
MER
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LEW
2 - 0
MER
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 0
MER
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 3
MER
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
BEA
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TIV
0 - 0
HEN
28%
23%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TIV
2 - 3
WIN
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TIV
3 - 2
STA
76%
14%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
TIV
5 - 1
HAR
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
TIV
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |