FA Trophy . 1/512
Global 2-1
Merthyr Town vs Taunton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 1
MER
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
2 - 4
MER
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 5
MER
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MER
3 - 1
NOR
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
SHO
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Taunton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 1
MER
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
2 - 4
MER
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AFT
1 - 2
TAU
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 2
DID
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |