Merthyr Town vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BEA
0 - 0
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
MER
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MER
2 - 0
BLA
54%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MER
3 - 1
WIM
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 1
MER
52%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAL
3 - 1
HAR
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 1
TAU
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
HEN
0 - 3
SAL
24%
20%
56%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 4
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 0
HAR
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |