Merthyr Town vs Kettering Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MER
6 - 1
CIN
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 2
MER
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MER
1 - 0
BIG
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
STR
0 - 3
MER
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
SLO
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
KET
5 - 1
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
KET
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
KET
3 - 1
WEY
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
KET
2 - 2
STN
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
3 - 1
KET
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |