Merthyr Town vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MER
5 - 0
SAL
12%
17%
72%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
WHI
3 - 1
MER
84%
12%
5%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 1
MER
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
GOS
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MER
2 - 0
WIM
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 1
CHE
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 2
POO
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TAU
3 - 1
CHE
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
WES
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
4 - 1
MET
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |