Merstham vs Sittingbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
TON
6 - 1
MER
66%
19%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MER
3 - 0
WAL
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HAS
1 - 6
MER
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
FOL
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
MER
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sittingbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SIT
3 - 1
WAL
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
3 - 1
SIT
40%
27%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SIT
2 - 2
CRO
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SIT
0 - 1
DAR
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
SIT
2 - 1
RAM
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |