Merone vs Olympic Retica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ZAN
3 - 1
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
NUO
14%
19%
66%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
MER
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
MAN
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COS
3 - 3
MER
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Olympic Retica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OLY
2 - 4
DUB
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VED
1 - 0
OLY
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OLY
4 - 1
AUR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 1
OLY
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 2
VED
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |