Venados FC vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
MER
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
IRA
1 - 0
MER
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MER
4 - 2
ALE
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 0
MER
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
TEP
2 - 1
UAT
23%
28%
49%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
TEP
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
IRA
0 - 0
TEP
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 0
CAÑ
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
COR
0 - 0
TEP
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |