Merida B vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 0
MCB
12%
23%
65%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MCB
1 - 3
PLA
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
VIL
0 - 0
MCB
36%
28%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MCB
2 - 0
CDZ
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 5
MCB
13%
22%
66%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
SNV
3 - 2
MOR
26%
26%
48%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MOR
2 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
PLA
1 - 0
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MOR
0 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CDZ
1 - 0
MOR
38%
27%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |