AD Mérida vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
TAL
0 - 1
MAD
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MAD
1 - 0
CDB
23%
27%
50%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
EXT
1 - 1
MAD
71%
18%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MAD
0 - 0
DBN
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
UDS
1 - 2
MAD
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
VRU
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
TAL
1 - 0
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
CUL
1 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CDB
1 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |