AD Mérida vs Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CPL
0 - 4
MAD
18%
23%
58%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
MAD
4 - 0
SAM
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DPC
1 - 1
MAD
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MAD
3 - 1
OLI
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MIA
1 - 3
MAD
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 0
CPC
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CPL
0 - 2
VIL
9%
19%
72%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 0
SAM
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DPC
0 - 2
VIL
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
OLI
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |