Melville United vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BAO
0 - 2
MEL
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MEL
4 - 0
CHR
51%
22%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
WAI
1 - 3
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ECB
2 - 8
MEL
31%
22%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
MEL
7 - 0
CLA
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 1
OHS
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 2
AUF
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
NAP
4 - 1
WSU
59%
20%
22%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
NAP
3 - 1
SEA
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
NAP
4 - 0
TAW
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |