UD Melilla vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
POR
0 - 0
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
CDR
2 - 1
MEL
22%
27%
51%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
MEL
1 - 0
XER
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
MEL
1 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
REC
1 - 0
MEL
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
SEV
2 - 2
XER
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
EST
2 - 1
SEV
47%
24%
28%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
SEV
1 - 1
REC
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
SEV
0 - 0
ALG
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
ADR
2 - 1
SEV
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |