UD Melilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.1%
84.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
14.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.6%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
JUM
0 - 0
MEL
24%
29%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 2
UCA
47%
30%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 0
ONT
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
MEL
48%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 0
DBN
67%
23%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FCB
5 - 1
RMA
54%
20%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
RMA
2 - 1
VKP
82%
12%
6%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RMA
1 - 2
LEV
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
RMA
8%
15%
78%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
CSK
1 - 0
RMA
11%
18%
71%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | +1 |