Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
1º
18
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
31% | 12% |
|
Next round
|
63.5% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
WUF
2 - 2
MEL
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
7 - 0
WES
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 0
WPH
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
MCI
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |