Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
WUF
1 - 6
MEL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
ADE
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SYD
2 - 0
MEL
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
MFC
3 - 1
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PER
2 - 1
MEL
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 0
MCI
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 0
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MCI
2 - 2
WPH
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
MCI
4 - 1
ADE
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 2
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |