Melbourne Victory Sub 21 vs Northcote City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 5
BRI
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 2
ADE
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
MEL
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PER
2 - 3
MEL
41%
23%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
5 - 4
MEL
45%
22%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 0
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 1
BEN
26%
25%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
WEC
2 - 1
NOR
14%
18%
69%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
DAN
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
NGW
1 - 0
NOR
12%
16%
72%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |