FC Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
AVH
2 - 1
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
3 - 2
POR
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
DAC
0 - 2
MEL
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 0
BEN
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +4 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
HEU
2 - 0
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
GRE
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
PAS
2 - 0
SOU
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
KIN
1 - 0
SOU
57%
19%
24%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AVH
4 - 0
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
SOU
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |