Melbourne City vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MCI
0 - 0
PER
50%
23%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WPH
0 - 0
MCI
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
MCI
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MCI
2 - 1
WES
54%
26%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CCM
2 - 0
MCI
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 1
WES
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 1
PER
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CCM
2 - 1
ADE
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ADE
7 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
ADE
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |