Mdina Knights vs Mellieha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mdina Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ZAB
5 - 0
MDI
82%
13%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MDI
0 - 2
QOR
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MTA
1 - 0
MDI
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MDI
1 - 2
MAR
11%
19%
70%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ZUR
2 - 1
MDI
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Mellieha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 1
KIR
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 1
MEL
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 2
ZUR
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
ZAB
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
QOR
0 - 3
MEL
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |