Mbeya City vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
25%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
YOU
1 - 0
MBE
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
RUV
1 - 1
MBE
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
KAG
0 - 1
MBE
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 3
MBE
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MBE
1 - 0
ASH
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MTI
1 - 1
SIM
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
KAG
0 - 0
MTI
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 0
MTI
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
RUV
2 - 2
MTI
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MTI
1 - 0
RHI
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |