Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
36%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SUT
2 - 1
MBE
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
YOU
5 - 0
MBE
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MBE
0 - 1
SIM
30%
30%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 0
MBE
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MBE
2 - 0
RUV
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
KAG
0 - 0
SUN
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MTI
0 - 1
KAG
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
KAG
1 - 1
TAN
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
KAG
2 - 1
NDA
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 1
KAG
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |