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Uganda League. Matchday 15

Mbarara City BUL FC
14 ELO 12
-38% Tilt -2%
6401º General ELO ranking 6755º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
30.2%
Mbarara City
31.9%
Draw
37.9%
BUL FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
Mbarara City
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
37.9%
Win probability
BUL FC
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mbarara City
-34%
+7%
BUL FC

Basic stats

1
1
GF
1
1
GC
14
12
ELO
0.9
1
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Mbarara City
Their league position
BUL FC
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
14º
10º
27
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Uganda Revenue Authority
54
65
38%
Vipers SC
53
64
38%
Express SC
52
61
33%
Bright Stars FC
40
49
15%
KCCA FC
38
54
6%
Uganda Police
38
49
32%
UPDF
33
41
22%
SC Villa
32
41
22%
Wakiso Giants
30
36
18%
Mbarara City
10º
29
35
10º
17%
BUL FC
11º
27
34
11º
16%
Onduparaka
12º
27
34
12º
17%
Busoga United
13º
26
31
13º
24%
Kyetume
14º
20
26
14º
50%
MYDA
15º
14
21
15º
54%
Kitara
16º
10
16
16º
68%
Expected probabilities
Mbarara City
BUL FC
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
96% 91%
Relegation
4% 9%

ELO progression

BUL FC
BUL
Mbarara City
MCF
Wakiso Giants
WAK
KCCA FC
KCC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mbarara City
Mbarara City
1%
X%
2%
ELO MCF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
MCF
Mbarara City
0 - 1
Bright Stars FC
BRI
45%
27%
28%
196 172 24 -1
09 Mar. 2021
OND
Onduparaka
1 - 0
Mbarara City
MCF
45%
27%
28%
197 222 25 -1
06 Mar. 2021
MCF
Mbarara City
1 - 0
Vipers SC
VIP
45%
27%
28%
196 251 -55 +1
03 Mar. 2021
UGA
Uganda Police
3 - 1
Mbarara City
MCF
45%
27%
28%
198 155 -43 -2
27 Feb. 2021
MCF
Mbarara City
3 - 1
Kyetume
KYE
47%
27%
26%
197 96 101 +1

Matches

BUL FC
BUL FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO BUL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
BUL
BUL FC
3 - 2
Kitara
KIT
47%
27%
26%
180 69 111 +1
10 Mar. 2021
BRI
Bright Stars FC
0 - 2
BUL FC
BUL
46%
27%
27%
178 173 -5 +2
06 Mar. 2021
BUL
BUL FC
0 - 1
Wakiso Giants
WAK
47%
27%
26%
180 82 98 -1
02 Mar. 2021
OND
Onduparaka
0 - 1
BUL FC
BUL
47%
27%
26%
178 222 44 +1
26 Feb. 2021
BUL
BUL FC
4 - 1
MYDA
MYD
47%
27%
26%
177 71 106 +2