CAF U20 . Last 16
Global 1-7
Mauritania U20s vs Mali U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
70%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAU
2 - 0
DZA
11%
19%
71%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DZA
2 - 1
MAU
81%
14%
6%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
DZA
3 - 0
MAU
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
MAU
0 - 1
LSU
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 4
MAU
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Mali U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 3
MLI
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
SRB
2 - 1
MLI
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
1 - 1
DEU
14%
20%
67%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
GHA
0 - 3
MLI
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
1 - 1
URY
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |