Matera vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CAT
2 - 0
MAT
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
USV
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 3
MAT
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
MAT
18%
25%
58%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
AKR
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
USF
5 - 1
FRA
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 0
FRA
33%
29%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
PAG
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |