Matera vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
MON
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 2
MAT
15%
22%
64%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
ISC
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
4 - 0
MAT
21%
27%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 3
ASM
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAV
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
GOZ
69%
20%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 3
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |