Serie C Playoffs Ascenso. Last 16
Global 2-2
Matelica Calcio vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
CES
2 - 3
MAT
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 1
SSS
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 0
IMO
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PRG
2 - 0
MAT
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
FAN
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
REN
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
JS2
39%
29%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 0
REN
21%
27%
52%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
REN
2 - 0
PER
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |