Masters Security vs Civil Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Masters Security
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
DWA
1 - 0
MSS
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Civil Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
EPA
0 - 1
MAF
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
MOY
4 - 0
EPA
45%
27%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EPA
2 - 4
KUN
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
EPA
0 - 1
BUL
57%
24%
19%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EPA
0 - 1
RED
51%
24%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |