1. HNL Relegation Play-offs Round 4

Marsonia vs NK Zagreb analysis

Marsonia NK Zagreb
65 ELO 74
7% Tilt 9.5%
6258º General ELO ranking 21878º
52º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
34.9%
Marsonia
26.4%
Draw
38.7%
NK Zagreb

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
Marsonia
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.7%
Win probability
NK Zagreb
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Marsonia
NK Zagreb
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marsonia
Marsonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2004
INT
Inter Zapresic
3 - 0
Marsonia
MAR
47%
24%
29%
65 64 1 0
03 Apr. 2004
MAR
Marsonia
3 - 2
HNK Cibalia
HNK
40%
27%
34%
65 72 7 0
27 Mar. 2004
KIV
Kamen Ingrad Velika
0 - 0
Marsonia
MAR
63%
21%
16%
64 75 11 +1
20 Mar. 2004
MAR
Marsonia
1 - 3
HNK Cibalia
HNK
43%
27%
31%
65 71 6 -1
13 Mar. 2004
INT
Inter Zapresic
1 - 1
Marsonia
MAR
47%
24%
30%
65 64 1 0

Matches

NK Zagreb
NK Zagreb
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2004
HNK
HNK Cibalia
2 - 2
NK Zagreb
ZAG
44%
26%
30%
74 71 3 0
03 Apr. 2004
ZAG
NK Zagreb
0 - 2
NK Slaven Belupo
SLA
58%
24%
18%
75 75 0 -1
27 Mar. 2004
INT
Inter Zapresic
0 - 1
NK Zagreb
ZAG
35%
27%
38%
74 65 9 +1
20 Mar. 2004
SLA
NK Slaven Belupo
1 - 0
NK Zagreb
ZAG
45%
26%
28%
75 74 1 -1
13 Mar. 2004
ZAG
NK Zagreb
0 - 0
NK Osijek
OSI
52%
23%
25%
75 74 1 0