Marsala vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DTO
2 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
REG
23%
22%
56%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 1
RAA
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
CAV
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
RAA
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 0
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
RAA
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |