Marquense vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
VEN
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MUN
4 - 1
LEO
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 2
ANT
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 2
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ROS
2 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
REU
1 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 1
NUE
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |