Market Drayton Town vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Market Drayton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
KID
0 - 0
MAR
64%
19%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
HUC
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
COA
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
STA
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
SUT
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 2
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
QUO
0 - 8
CAR
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
7 - 1
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |