Segunda Liga Round 26

Marítimo vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis

Marítimo Felgueiras 1932
74 ELO 65
-13.6% Tilt 6.4%
1027º General ELO ranking 2119º
21º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
57.7%
Marítimo
24.4%
Draw
18%
Felgueiras 1932

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
Marítimo
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18%
Win probability
Felgueiras 1932
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo
-1%
+17%
Felgueiras 1932

Points and table prediction

Marítimo
Their league position
Felgueiras 1932
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
15º
12º
46
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tondela
64
64
100%
FC Alverca
63
63
100%
Vizela
62
62
100%
Benfica II
55
55
100%
Torreense
54
54
100%
União de Leiria
52
52
100%
Chaves
51
51
100%
Feirense
49
49
100%
Felgueiras 1932
46
46
100%
Academico Viseu
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Penafiel
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Marítimo
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Leixões
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Porto II
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Portimonense
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Paços de Ferreira
16º
33
33
16º
100%
UD Oliveirense
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Mafra
18º
27
27
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marítimo
Felgueiras 1932
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Marítimo
Felgueiras 1932
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2025
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 1
Academico Viseu
ACV
43%
27%
30%
74 72 2 0
02 Mar. 2025
POR
Porto II
0 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
32%
26%
42%
74 67 7 0
22 Feb. 2025
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 2
União de Leiria
UDL
46%
28%
26%
74 72 2 0
16 Feb. 2025
ALV
FC Alverca
5 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
31%
26%
43%
75 69 6 -1
08 Feb. 2025
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 0
Portimonense
POR
47%
27%
26%
74 70 4 +1

Matches

Felgueiras 1932
Felgueiras 1932
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2025
FEL
Felgueiras 1932
2 - 2
União de Leiria
UDL
25%
28%
47%
64 73 9 0
01 Mar. 2025
ACV
Academico Viseu
0 - 0
Felgueiras 1932
FEL
56%
24%
20%
64 72 8 0
22 Feb. 2025
FEL
Felgueiras 1932
1 - 0
Porto II
POR
29%
27%
44%
63 67 4 +1
15 Feb. 2025
CHA
Chaves
2 - 0
Felgueiras 1932
FEL
65%
21%
15%
63 74 11 0
08 Feb. 2025
FEL
Felgueiras 1932
1 - 0
Tondela
TON
17%
25%
58%
62 76 14 +1