Liga Portugal Betclic Round 5

Marítimo vs Benfica analysis

Marítimo Benfica
77 ELO 89
12.2% Tilt -10.4%
1041º General ELO ranking 101º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.2%
Marítimo
25.9%
Draw
45.9%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
Marítimo
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
45.9%
Win probability
Benfica
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo
-6%
+25%
Benfica

ELO progression

Marítimo
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 1995
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 1
Farense
FAR
62%
22%
17%
77 73 4 0
10 Dec. 1994
BMA
Beira Mar SC
1 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
38%
30%
32%
77 70 7 0
03 Dec. 1994
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 3
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
64%
22%
15%
78 74 4 -1
26 Nov. 1994
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Marítimo
MAR
50%
26%
25%
78 71 7 0
20 Nov. 1994
MAR
Marítimo
4 - 1
Chaves
CHA
73%
17%
10%
78 64 14 0

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 1994
SAL
SC Salgueiros
1 - 2
Benfica
SLB
19%
25%
56%
88 69 19 0
10 Dec. 1994
SLB
Benfica
4 - 1
Boavista
BOA
66%
20%
14%
88 82 6 0
07 Dec. 1994
AND
Anderlecht
1 - 1
Benfica
SLB
50%
25%
25%
88 88 0 0
03 Dec. 1994
SCP
Sporting CP
1 - 0
Benfica
SLB
50%
24%
26%
88 88 0 0
26 Nov. 1994
SLB
Benfica
3 - 1
CF Estrela Amadora
EST
76%
16%
8%
88 75 13 0