Marítimo vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
BMA
2 - 2
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
BOA
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
GFC
2 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOR
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
UDL
3 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 0
GFC
43%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 2
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 0
ALV
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 0
ALV
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |