Mariscal vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 0
MBB
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
CIP
1 - 1
MBB
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2002 |
MBB
1 - 0
UNI
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
OPE
4 - 2
MBB
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
BLO
4 - 0
MBB
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
BOL
5 - 0
CIP
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOL
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2002 |
BOL
4 - 1
BLO
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOL
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
STR
3 - 2
BOL
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |