Campeonato de Portugal Grupo C. Jor. 4

Marinhense vs Ideal analysis

Marinhense Ideal
30 ELO 37
-7.8% Tilt -3.8%
5041º General ELO ranking 19823º
80º Country ELO ranking 309º
ELO win probability
35.4%
Marinhense
24.7%
Draw
39.9%
Ideal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
Marinhense
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.9%
Win probability
Ideal
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Marinhense
Ideal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marinhense
Marinhense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2019
MAR
Marinhense
0 - 0
Fatima
FAT
33%
23%
44%
31 36 5 0
01 Sep. 2019
CON
Condeixa
3 - 3
Marinhense
MAR
17%
19%
64%
31 18 13 0
25 Aug. 2019
MAR
Marinhense
1 - 2
Sertanense
SER
36%
23%
41%
32 37 5 -1
18 Aug. 2019
MAR
Marinhense
5 - 1
Vitoria de Sernache
VIT
54%
21%
25%
31 28 3 +1
20 Jul. 2019
SIN
Sintrense
1 - 4
Marinhense
MAR
60%
20%
20%
32 40 8 -1

Matches

Ideal
Ideal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2019
ORI
Oriental Lisboa
2 - 0
Ideal
IDE
56%
24%
20%
37 44 7 0
01 Sep. 2019
IDE
Ideal
0 - 0
Oleiros
OLE
51%
23%
26%
37 35 2 0
25 Aug. 2019
TOR
Torreense
2 - 0
Ideal
IDE
37%
25%
38%
38 34 4 -1
12 May. 2019
PIN
Pinhalnovense
0 - 2
Ideal
IDE
47%
26%
28%
37 37 0 +1
05 May. 2019
IDE
Ideal
2 - 2
Moura
MOU
57%
22%
21%
37 33 4 0
X