Marília vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
COM
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
JOS
0 - 0
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
PRI
0 - 0
MAR
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
MAR
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
BAT
1 - 2
NOR
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
LIN
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 3
DES
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
NOR
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
OLI
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |