Marília vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
BOT
2 - 2
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAU
45%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
AME
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
CAX
0 - 4
NAU
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |