Marienlyst vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
TAR
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 4
MAR
26%
22%
53%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
SBO
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 3
OFA
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NAE
4 - 0
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
B93
4 - 0
MID
49%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MID
0 - 0
THI
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
BIF
1 - 4
MID
5%
11%
84%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |