Maribor vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
10º
3º
67
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 1
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
4 - 4
MAR
64%
20%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
DYN
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
BRA
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TAS
2 - 2
CEL
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
NSM
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 2
DAC
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
1 - 6
CEL
6%
14%
80%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |