Maribor vs NK Bravo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
10º
3º
36
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 1
MAR
15%
22%
64%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
NSM
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
MAR
30%
26%
45%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 3
MAR
9%
16%
76%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
NK Bravo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
RAD
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
TAS
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NSM
0 - 1
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 3
CEL
32%
29%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 2
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |