III Divisao . Jor. 20

Maria da Fonte vs Merelinense analysis

Maria da Fonte Merelinense
30 ELO 25
-5.1% Tilt -7%
ELO win probability
57.1%
Maria da Fonte
21.5%
Draw
21.4%
Merelinense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
Maria da Fonte
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.3%
Win probability
Merelinense
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maria da Fonte
-47%
-30%
Merelinense

ELO progression

Maria da Fonte
Merelinense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maria da Fonte
Maria da Fonte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2013
MAR
Maria da Fonte
1 - 1
Caçadores das Taipas
CAC
48%
24%
29%
30 30 0 0
10 Feb. 2013
PON
Ponte da Barca
1 - 2
Maria da Fonte
MAR
34%
25%
42%
30 22 8 0
03 Feb. 2013
MAR
Maria da Fonte
0 - 1
Ronfe
RON
50%
23%
27%
30 30 0 0
27 Jan. 2013
MAR
Marinhas
0 - 0
Maria da Fonte
MAR
39%
25%
37%
31 26 5 -1
20 Jan. 2013
MAR
Maria da Fonte
2 - 1
Esposende
ESP
65%
19%
16%
30 22 8 +1

Matches

Merelinense
Merelinense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2013
MER
Merelinense
2 - 3
Santa Maria
SAN
32%
24%
44%
26 37 11 0
10 Feb. 2013
CAC
Caçadores das Taipas
2 - 0
Merelinense
MER
50%
23%
27%
27 29 2 -1
03 Feb. 2013
MER
Merelinense
6 - 0
Melgacense
MEL
57%
21%
22%
26 24 2 +1
27 Jan. 2013
PON
Ponte da Barca
1 - 0
Merelinense
MER
31%
24%
45%
27 20 7 -1
20 Jan. 2013
MER
Merelinense
1 - 1
Monção
MON
87%
9%
4%
27 6 21 0
X