Maria da Fonte vs Águias da Graça analysis


25	ELO	12
-2.7%	Tilt	-8%
20122º	General ELO ranking	25206º
298º	Country ELO ranking	485º
ELO win probability

80.8%

Maria da Fonte

12.8%

Draw

6.4%

Águias da Graça

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

80.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%

12.8%

Draw

0-0

3.5%

1-1

6.1%

2-2

2.7%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

0.1%

0

12.8%

6.4%

Win probability

0.65

Expected goals

0-1

2.2%

1-2

2%

2-3

0.6%

3-4

0.1%

-1

4.9%

0-2

0.7%

1-3

0.4%

2-4

0.1%

3-5

0%

-2

1.3%

0-3

0.2%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.2%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maria da Fonte

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
31 Aug. 2014	MAR 1 - 3 MAR 56% 22% 22%	25	27	2	0
24 Aug. 2014	MAR 0 - 2 TDB 73% 16% 11%	26	17	9	-1
22 Sep. 2013	MAR 2 - 3 OGR 70% 18% 12%	28	15	13	-2
01 Sep. 2013	JOA 0 - 1 MAR 53% 23% 25%	27	28	1	+1
10 Mar. 2013	MAR 1 - 3 VIA 36% 26% 39%	28	36	8	-1