A PFG Round 22

Marek vs Vihren analysis

Marek Vihren
69 ELO 70
-6% Tilt -11.6%
3081º General ELO ranking 4478º
23º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
43%
Marek
27%
Draw
30%
Vihren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
Marek
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30%
Win probability
Vihren
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marek
-26%
+44%
Vihren

ELO progression

Marek
Vihren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marek
Marek
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2006
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 - 2
Marek
MAR
53%
26%
21%
68 70 2 0
01 Apr. 2006
MAR
Marek
1 - 0
Slavia Sofia
SSO
33%
28%
39%
67 77 10 +1
25 Mar. 2006
NEF
Neftochimic Burgas
0 - 0
Marek
MAR
53%
25%
21%
67 69 2 0
19 Mar. 2006
MAR
Marek
1 - 0
Rodopa Smolyan
ROD
45%
26%
29%
66 67 1 +1
12 Mar. 2006
LSO
Levski Sofia
2 - 0
Marek
MAR
75%
16%
9%
67 79 12 -1

Matches

Vihren
Vihren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2006
VIH
Vihren
0 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
50%
24%
26%
71 73 2 0
09 Apr. 2006
VIH
Vihren
0 - 2
Slavia Sofia
SSO
43%
27%
30%
72 76 4 -1
01 Apr. 2006
ROD
Rodopa Smolyan
1 - 2
Vihren
VIH
41%
26%
33%
72 66 6 0
25 Mar. 2006
VIH
Vihren
2 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
37%
27%
36%
71 78 7 +1
19 Mar. 2006
CVA
Cherno More Varna
3 - 1
Vihren
VIH
47%
27%
27%
71 71 0 0