Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
AIM
33%
29%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
ECP
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
HER
0 - 0
FFL
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FFL
1 - 0
HER
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
HER
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
CHA
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |