Marchena Balompié vs C.D. Arahelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchena Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 2
MAR
24%
26%
51%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAM
73%
17%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 2
MAR
21%
22%
58%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 0
HUE
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MSQ
1 - 2
MAR
22%
26%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CDA
4 - 2
ATL
61%
19%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COR
5 - 1
CDA
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CDA
4 - 2
OLI
30%
22%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 2
CDA
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDA
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |